Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Нил Фергюсон

Petersen et al., «Comparing SARS-CoV2 with SARS-CoV and Influenza».

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910

Barabási, Network Science, chap. 10.

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911

J. O. Lloyd-Smith et al., «Superspreading and the Effect of Individual Variation on Disease Emergence», Nature 438 (2005), pp. 355–359, https://www.nature.com/articles/nature04153.

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912

См. в целом: Thomas Abraham, Twenty-First Century Plague: The Story of SARS (Baltimore: John Hopkins University Press, 2007).

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913

Тяжелый острый респираторный синдром (англ.).

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914

Abraham, Twenty-First Century Plague, p. 87.

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915

Abraham, Twenty-First Century Plague, pp. 101–104.

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916

Richard D. Smith, «Responding to Global Infectious Disease Outbreaks: Lessons from SARS on the Role of Risk Perception, Communication and Management», Social Science and Medicine 63 (2006), pp. 3113–3123.

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917

V. Rossi and John Walker, «Assessing the Economic Impact and Costs of Flu Pandemics Originating in Asia», Oxford Economic Forecasting Group (2005), pp. 1-23.

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918

«COVID-19 Science Update for March 27th: Super-Spreaders and the Need for New Prediction Models», Quillette, March 27, 2020, https://quillette.com/2020/03/27/covid19science-update-for-march27super-spreaders-and-the-need-for-new-prediction-models/.

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919

Petersen et al., «Comparing SARS-CoV2 with SARS-CoV and Influenza», table 1.

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920

David Quammen, Ebola: The Natural and Human History (London: Bodley Head, 2014), loc. 702-15, Kindle; Richard Preston, The Hot Zone (New York: Random House, 1994), p. 68.

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921

Laurie Garrett, «Ebola’s Lessons: How the WHO Mishandled the Crisis», Foreign Affairs 94, no. 5 (September/October 2015), pp. 80-107.

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922

Honigsbaum, Pandemic Century, pp. 202f.

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923

Garrett, «Ebola’s Lessons», pp. 94f.

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924

Garrett, «Ebola’s Lessons», p. 97.

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925

Zeynep Tufekci, «Ebola: The Real Reason Everyone Should Panic», Medium, October 23, 2014, https://medium.com/message/ebola-the-real-reason-everyone-should-panic-889f32740e3e.

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926

John Poole, «‘Shadow’ and ‘D12’ Sing an Infectious Song About Ebola», Morning Edition, NPR, August 19, 2014, https://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2014/08/19/341412011/shadow-andd12singaninfectious-song-about-ebola.

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927

Airline Accident Fatalities Per Year, 1946–2017, Aviation Safety Network, https://aviation-safety.net/graphics/infographics/Airliner-Accident-Fatalities-Per-Year-1946–2017.jpg.

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928

Airliner Accidents Per 1 Million Flights, 1977–2017, Aviation Safety Network, https://aviation-safety.net/graphics/infographics/Fatal-Accidents-Per-Mln-Flights-1977–2017.jpg.

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929

Sebastian Junger, The Perfect Storm (New York: W. W. Norton, 1997).

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930

«Meteorologists Say ‘Perfect Storm’ Not So Perfect», Science Daily, June 29, 2000, https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2000/06/000628101549.htm

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931

James Reason, Human Error (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1990), p. 175.

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932

Jens Rasmussen, «The Definition of Human Error and a Taxonomy for Technical Systems Design», in New Technology and Human Error, ed. J. Rasmussen, K. Duncan, and J. Leplat (London: Wiley, 1987), pp. 23–30.

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933

James B. Battles, «Disaster Prevention: Lessons Learned from the Titanic», Baylor University Medical Center Proceedings 14, no. 2 (April 2001), pp. 150–153.

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934

Roy Mengot, «Titanic and the Iceberg», Titanic Research and Modeling Association, https://web.archive.org/web/20130920234448/http://titanic-model.com/db/db02/rmdb2.html.

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935

«Did Anyone Really Think the Titanic Was Unsinkable?» Britannica, https://www.britannica.com/story/did-anyone-really-think-the-titanic-was-unsinkable.

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936

History.com, «The Titanic: Sinking & Facts», November 9, 2009, updated March 10, 2020, https://www.history.com/topics/early-20th-centuryus/titanic.

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937

Battles, «Disaster Prevention», p. 151.

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938

Andrew Wilson, Shadow of the Titanic: The Extraordinary Stories of Those Who Survived (New York; Atria, 2012), p. 7. См. также: Frances Wilson, How to Survive the Titanic, or The Sinking of J. Bruce Ismay (London: