Злой рок. Политика катастроф - Нил Фергюсон

Katherine Ann Porter, «Pale Horse, Pale Rider», in Pale Horse, Pale Rider: Three Short Novels (New York: Literary Classics, 2008).

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577

Johnson, «Aspects of the Historical Geography», pp. 298, 314.

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578

Johnson, «Aspects of the Historical Geography», p. 423.

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579

Johnson, «Aspects of the Historical Geography», pp. 258n., 269, 283.

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580

Crosby, America’s Forgotten Pandemic, pp. 64f.

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581

Brainard and Siegler, «Economic Effects».

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582

Garrett, «Economic Effects», tables 1 and 3, pp. 13–15.

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583

Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner, «Pandemics Depress the Economy, Public Health Interventions Do Not: Evidence from the 1918 Flu», March 26, 2020, доступно в источнике: SSRN, https://ssrn.com/abstract=3561560; Andrew Lilley, Matthew Lilley, and Gianluca Rinaldi, «Public Health Interventions and Economic Growth: Revisiting the Spanish Flu Evidence», May 2, 2020, доступно в источнике: SSRN, https://ssrn.com/abstract=3590008; Sergio Correia, Stephan Luck, and Emil Verner, «Response to Lilley, Lilley, and Rinaldi (2020)», May 15, 2020, https://almlgr.github.io/CLV_response.pdf.

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584

Crosby, America’s Forgotten Pandemic, pp. 52f.

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585

Francesco Aimone, «The 1918 Influenza Epidemic in New York City: A Review of the Public Health Response», Public Health Reports 125, supp. 3 (2010), pp. 71–79, doi:10.1177/00333549101250S310.

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586

Peters, «Influenza and the Press».

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587

H. Markel et al., «Nonpharmaceutical Interventions Implemented by U. S. Cities During the 1918–1919 Influenza Pandemic», JAMA 298, no. 6 (2007), pp. 644–654, doi:10.1001/jama.298.6.644.

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588

Crosby, America’s Forgotten Pandemic, pp. 93-119.

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589

Paul Roderick Gregory, «Coronavirus and the Great Lockdown: A Non-Biological Black Swan», RealClear Markets, May 5, 2020, https://www.realclearmarkets.com/articles/2020/05/05/coronavirus_and_the_great_lockdown_a_non-biological_black_swan_490756.html.

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590

Barro, Ursúa, and Weng, «Coronavirus and the Great Influenza Pandemic.»

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591

Dave Donaldson and Daniel Keniston, «How Positive Was the Positive Check? Investment and Fertility in the Aftermath of the 1918 Influenza in India», October 24, 2014,http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.704.7779&rep=rep1&type=pdf.

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592

Amanda Guimbeauy, Nidhiya Menonz, and Aldo Musacchio, «The Brazilian Bombshell? The Short and Long-Term Impact of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic the South American Way», November 21, 2019, available at SSRN, https://ssrn.com/abstract=3381800 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3381800.

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593

Garrett, «Economic Effects».

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594

François R. Velde, «What Happened to the U. S. Economy During the 1918 Influenza Pandemic? A View Through High-Frequency Data», Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, April 10, 2020.

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595

Christina D. Romer, «World War I and the Postwar Depression:

A Reinterpretation Based on Alternative Estimates of GDP», Journal of Monetary Economics 22 (1988), pp. 91-115.

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596

Brainard and Siegler, «Economic Effects».

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597

Douglas Almond, «Is the 1918 Influenza Pandemic Over? Long-Term Effect of In Utero Influenza Exposure in the Post-1940 U. S. Population», Journal of Political Economy 114, no. 4 (2006), p. 673.

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598

Mikko Myrskylä, Neil K. Mehta, and Virginia W. Chang, «Early Life Exposure to the 1918 Influenza Pandemic and Old-Age Mortality by Cause of Death», American Journal of Public Health 103, no. 7 (July 2013), pp. E83 – E90.

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599

Tommy Bengtsson and Jonas Helgertz, «The Long Lasting Influenza: The Impact of Fetal Stress During the 1918 Influenza Pandemic on Socioeconomic Attainment and Health in Sweden 1968–2012», IZA Discussion Paper No. 9327 (September 2015), pp. 1-40.

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600

Richard E. Nelson, «Testing the Fetal Origins Hypothesis in a Developing Country: Evidence from the 1918 Influenza Pandemic», Health Economics 19, no 10 (October 2010), pp. 1181–1192, https:; Ming-Jen Lin and Elaine M. Liu, «Does In Utero Exposure to Illness Matter? The 1918 Influenza Epidemic in Taiwan as a Natural Experiment», NBER Working Paper 20166 (May 2014), https://www.nber.org/papers/w20166.pdf; Sven Neelsen and Thomas Stratmann, «Long-Run Effects of Fetal Influenza Exposure: Evidence from Switzerland», Social Science &